CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama

A new CBS News poll finds that while most voters who have heard at least something about controversial statements made by Barack Obama's longtime pastor say their view of the Democratic presidential candidate is unchanged, a third say it has made them feel more negative about Obama.

The poll found that among registered voters, 25 percent said they had heard "a lot" about Rev. Jeremiah Wright's comments, while 33 percent said they had heard some. Forty-two percent said they hadn't heard about the comments. Of those voters, sixty-five percent said it didn't make a difference in their view of Obama. However, of those whose opinion is changed, the net impact is very negative. Thirty percent said it made them have a less favorable view, whereas 2 percent said it made their view more favorable.

52% of registered voters are paying a lot or some attention to the episode.

36% of independents and 15% of Democrats say the episode has rendered them less favorable to Obama.

44% of voters view him favorably, 30% view him unfavorably, and 26% either are undecided or have not formed an opinion. 63% of Democrats view him favorably, a slight downward blip from CBS's poll last month.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/03/1 8/opinion/polls/main3948010.shtml



Display:


Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

I tend to think those who view Obama negatively based on this Wright episode are those who would be predisposed to view him negatively to begin with -- namely those who would be likely to support Clinton.

A more interesting and illuminating way of doing this would be to restrict the survey to those already supporting Obama.


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:12:09 PM EST

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 2)

No because they'll say anything Obama does is "transformational". I've never seen such apologia for racism in my life as I have with Obama supporters lately.

It's democrats that he needs to worry about. They're the majority of those who vote in the primaries.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:19:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

But it would assess whether his supporters are less likely to support him because of this, which I think is what the point of this poll was.


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:23:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 2)

Frankly, I doubt it would change much of his support. The majority of his voters apparently see nothing wrong with Rev. Wright.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:26:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 1)

and apparently the majority of his supporters saw nothing wrong with Rev. McClurkin.


Hillary/Obama08
by annefrank on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:58:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 1)

I have always been a 'yellow dog' democrat (i.e., if the dems were running a golden retriever against a rethug, I would vote for fido).  But I cannot vote for Obama. I am an HRC supporter, but had resolved myself to support BHO if he won the nomination--with my time and money (both of which I donate quite a bit of every 4 years).  But now, I cannot.  I won't vote for McCain, but I can't see how I would bring myself to vote for someone who (a least by his inaction--sitting in the pews for 20 years) has endorsed a racist ideology.  How can I give my vote for a man whose 'moral compass' thinks that white people (of which I am one)are root and cause of evil in this country and around the world. And I know there are a whole bunch of other people who have/will draw the same conclusion.  And you know what: it makes me sad.  This election was ours to lose, and if BHO gets the nomination, we WILL lose it.  All of you out there, get ready for another 4 to 8 years of republicans.  This just sucks.


Unity Ticket: The best damn way to kick John McCain's Ass in November!
by aurelius on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:51:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 1)

I know. The same people who brough you George W. Bush want to bring you Obama. Lots of people will be sitting this one out if Obama is at the top of the ticket. He's not qualified to be president. Huge swathes of Dems will vote for McCain. It'll be a massacre.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 10:02:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

It just makes me sick to my stomach to imagine what 4 to 8 more years of republicans will do to this country.  Nader gave us Bush and I am afraid Obama will give us McCain.  It may be time to move out of the country.


Unity Ticket: The best damn way to kick John McCain's Ass in November!
by aurelius on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 10:16:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 3)

No.

Only 15% of democrats view him more negatively, but 36% of independents do.  That's Obama's turf, not Hillary's.


99% perspiration
by DaveOinSF on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:26:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 1)

You're probably right, but she's been drawing more independents in the latest contests.

My point is, there's really no way to know based solely on this CBS poll.

And that third of independents is a rather large number. And kind of surprising that so many are paying attention to this!


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:29:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

Guess what - there's no election today.  It's very hard to know if this will be an issue when those folks vote.  It might be, but one cannot assume that what's going on at one point in time will be going in the future.  Obama took a big step today and he and his campaign will continue to work.  They may or may not be successful, but you really can't know one way or another right now.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:35:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

100% agreed.


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:40:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (none / 0)

I think the same could be said about people who support Obama.  Nothing he could do would sway them away from him.  That's the reason both Clinton and Obama camps are having a tough time speaking to one another.  Both candidates bring out great passion in their supporters.


by izarradar on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:30:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

exactly (none / 0)

If you go around to the blogs (I know it's not really representative) but it looks like Obama supporters are still defending him. At this point the supporters are so emotionally invested in their candidates, that absent some personal scandal, I don't see how one or the other candidate loses a significant chunk of his/her support.

I hate to be so pessimistic, but I honestly believe that as of today we have less than a 50% chance of winning the Presidency. I want to believe it won't happen, but I just don't see a scenario where you don't have a huge chunk of the Democratic electorate seething that their candidate was either 1) forced to withdraw even though leading in pledged delegates or 2) asked by the party leaders to withdraw even though the candidate is considered by supporters to be more experienced and electable.

At least this will be an interesting summer.  


by highgrade on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 09:36:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: exactly (none / 0)

You're right at this point. Both of them lose Dems but Obama loses a lot more. And it looks like Wright is killing any chances Obama had with independents.

Obama has a severe problem with the center of the electorate. He is seen as too radical and racially divisive now. He's seen as the candidates for blacks only. Hillary has a problem with the left wing of the party hence her polling closer to McCain in states like OR and WA.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 10:07:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

with all due respect (none / 0)

u have little to no credibility as far as giving an objective view of the race. u say he's the candidate of the blacks right after I pointed out that most of obamas core supporters have yet to desert him.


by highgrade on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 12:02:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: with all due respect (none / 0)

Whatever. What is with Obama supporters lately? All they seem to do is attack posters and call them names.


No longer a Democrat, now proudly an independent voter!
by Ga6thDem on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 06:51:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

CBS linked MyDD - anyone see? (none / 0)


by earthoat on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 10:00:29 PM EST

Re: Biggest Dem lost Oppty in Decades (2.00 / 1)

If things keep going the way they have, this will be the Biggest Lost Opportunity in many decades for the Democratic Party. ( in terms of winning the Presidency)

We are supposed to be the party of inclusion. The Rainbow coalition party of all races,gender,religion & sexual orientation.

But unfortunately, our greatest strength is our   Diversity. But it also happens to be our greatest weakness.

This 2008 primary is shaping up to prove that.

Well no one said it would be easy. The Only ones Happy about all this are Conservative Republicans. They are having a blast!

P.S. At this point in this race, I am assuming that Sen. Obama is ahead in the nomination battle & may likely be the nominee.
What is my sincere personal assessment of Obama's chances in November ?

I sincerely believe that Senator Obama will lose very badly in November. I have always felt that way but this Wrightgate just ensured that losing scenario. It would be the biggest Democratic defeat since Dukakis only won 10 states in 1988.

I don't see anyway for him to even recover in large electoral blue states like PA,NJ,MI,MA by November. Nor do I see any path to him winning battleground electoral heavy Oh,FL,MO,CO.He would lose every single southern state.

Its All About Demographics. No Democrat can ever win a national election yesterday nor today by  relying heavily ONLY on support from White Liberals & African-Americans.

No Democrat running for President can win the General election without solid support from millions upon millions of White blue collar voters spread across all regions of the country.
You cannot change the demographics of this country.

And to add insult to injury, No Democrat today can win the Presidency without very strong support from the largest minority block in america- Hispanic voters. And Obama will perform worst than Gore or Kerry did with Hispanic voters. Especially against McCain.

These two groups alone will handily give the presidency to McCain.

The Republicans are normally assured of victory in the GE if they get around 57%-60% of the white votes. With Obama as the nominee, no one should be shocked if Republicans carry 70%-75% of all white voters.

Obama is currently averaging 25%-35% of all democratic white voters. ( which of course are much more liberal than white voters in general)

Wait until November when ALL white voters regardless of party affiliation get to vote. It will be ugly!


by latinfighter on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 11:15:38 PM EST

Re: CBS News Poll On Rev. Wright And Obama (2.00 / 1)

And to add insult to injury, Obama appears to be willing to toss FL and MI overboard. Good luck carrying those states. Looking at his lack of appeal to Latinos, Asians, Native Americans and lesbian and gay voters, I don't see how he can win. What I hear coming from his supporters is that he will make up loses in the industrial states by carrying mountain west states. Uh, no Dem can win there without strong Latino support. After the Wright fiasco, don't see him getting much if any.


by DaleA on Tue Mar 18, 2008 at 11:40:44 PM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.